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debt ceiling is you cannot borrow, so you have to balance the budget tomorrow. in addition to that, there was the kind of not very real threat that we might default on the national debt or postpone payments, so you're playing with a combination of a big fiscal contraction and the possibility of triggering a financial crisis also. lori: i want to ask you about your book. after the music stopped, but about the financial crisis, to a dozen 7-8. looking back, said always 2020, what were the best actions taken by the federal government and the worst? >> at think there were three. in net you a tie for first? >> you know how tv works. >> one was tart. very unpopular, but effective and turn a profit for the taxpayer. second was the stimulus that we were just talking about. could have been better. was not a perfect stimulus bill, a pretty good given the political constraints. third, what almost no one ever talks about, the bank stress test. to me the banks stress test and this compared pedestrian 2009 was the equivalent of the fdr bank holiday. once was over people felt
debt ceiling is you cannot borrow, so you have to balance the budget tomorrow. in addition to that, there was the kind of not very real threat that we might default on the national debt or postpone payments, so you're playing with a combination of a big fiscal contraction and the possibility of triggering a financial crisis also. lori: i want to ask you about your book. after the music stopped, but about the financial crisis, to a dozen 7-8. looking back, said always 2020, what were the best...
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Jan 31, 2013
01/13
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we postpone the debt ceiling program, we get decent earnings, fundamentals here and abroad are reasonably good, central banks everywhere giving us all the help in the world and still returning zero and getting tired of that. liz: let's bring that up, can return zero. it may as well be almost treasuries which are just a 2% for the ten year. 46% of the s&p company's reporting so far for numbers, 69%, are you comfortable with that number? >> it is staying, no question. anything close to 70 is really good and on the revenue line, they have been above expectations as well. liz: if someone is positive with bob dole, i was into the market and i'm going to start picking, what the you look for when you are picking stock? >> you need to say i am a dollar cost average because i am not smart enough to get the lows and pick some of. money earmarked for equities. liz: every paycheck auto debt that goes into what? >> companies with free cash flow you can find mutual funds that focus on that sort of thing or secure own companies will do that and in a world that still has slow growth you want companies th
we postpone the debt ceiling program, we get decent earnings, fundamentals here and abroad are reasonably good, central banks everywhere giving us all the help in the world and still returning zero and getting tired of that. liz: let's bring that up, can return zero. it may as well be almost treasuries which are just a 2% for the ten year. 46% of the s&p company's reporting so far for numbers, 69%, are you comfortable with that number? >> it is staying, no question. anything close to...
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Jan 29, 2013
01/13
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that pushes the debt ceiling to may 18th. the back end of number of cliffs upcoming in the calendar. look here at the government deadlines the congress and white house are facing right now. first, march 1st are the automatic spending cuts known as the sequester. they begin to hit the federal budget. that is something that takes place over the course of the year and is gradual. march 27th, that is when government spending runs out. or a large chunk of it. if there is no agreement on that, that could shut down the federal government. you're looking at debt ceiling all the way on may 18th. congressional aides saying treasury is telling them pause of extraordinary measures they can use, this pushes the debt ceiling day back to sometime this summer perhaps if this is a bill that clears congress and the senate is going to consider it the next couple of days and likely it does pass of the because the debt ceiling is pushed off and the next real fast deadline is march 27th, that government spending deadline, analysts say that increas
that pushes the debt ceiling to may 18th. the back end of number of cliffs upcoming in the calendar. look here at the government deadlines the congress and white house are facing right now. first, march 1st are the automatic spending cuts known as the sequester. they begin to hit the federal budget. that is something that takes place over the course of the year and is gradual. march 27th, that is when government spending runs out. or a large chunk of it. if there is no agreement on that, that...
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Jan 31, 2013
01/13
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the debt ceiling moves out of the way for fight over government spending. it has already started. >> clearly, it is the spending that we have to deal. now is the perfect time to do so. the key to a robust recovery is to create jobs and grow. >> it is something that we know. we understand that. there is more to making our recall of an economy. rich: if any of the amendments pass, the bill then heads back to the house. the senate will very likely said this bill to the president's desk this evening. the sequester beginning in march in a large portion of government authority running out march 7. if they fail to reach a spending puma we will have another government shutdown. back to you. connell: let's bring in band manager. -- let's bring in dan and. the president is a bully. is that what that means? >> clearly, john boehner is now understanding that what is going on is he is in the thunder dome. rather than in a good-faith negotiation with the president. i am so glad, dagen, in your introduction $450 at least twice. $450 billion is incomprehensible. the democr
the debt ceiling moves out of the way for fight over government spending. it has already started. >> clearly, it is the spending that we have to deal. now is the perfect time to do so. the key to a robust recovery is to create jobs and grow. >> it is something that we know. we understand that. there is more to making our recall of an economy. rich: if any of the amendments pass, the bill then heads back to the house. the senate will very likely said this bill to the president's desk...
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Jan 31, 2013
01/13
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now to the debt ceiling talking about washington. the senate is expected to vote on a temporary measure. rich edson in washington with more on that. rich. >> senators will likely pass the debt ceiling increase this afternoon and the president is expected to sign it extending the debt ceiling through may 18th and paving the way for the next washington fight, spending. >> the republican playbook of continuing complaining about spending is something we know we have to do something with spending. >> there are two things we know about tax increases for sure. first, they reduce jobs and hurt economic growth. and second, they distract us from addressing the real problem which is spending. >> so automatic spending cuts known as the sequester begin in march and a large forges portion of government spending authority runs out on march 27th. if lawmakers fail to reach a spending and budget deal we'll have another government shutdown then. president obama is allowing his jobs council to expire. the 2-year-old council including business and labor
now to the debt ceiling talking about washington. the senate is expected to vote on a temporary measure. rich edson in washington with more on that. rich. >> senators will likely pass the debt ceiling increase this afternoon and the president is expected to sign it extending the debt ceiling through may 18th and paving the way for the next washington fight, spending. >> the republican playbook of continuing complaining about spending is something we know we have to do something with...
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we have avoided the fiscal cliff posted on the debt ceiling. earnings are decent, decent economic indicators here and outside the u.s. on balance is good, not everyone of them. we have central bankers all over the world, but begging for reflation putting money in the system and a lot of cash getting zero return and those things i think are the reason the stock is likely to continue going. connell: that is the last one i want to pick up on because reading your most recent numbers is lack of tolerance for the cash balances giving a zero return, so people do look and say i can't get a return for a decent yield on anything, so i would rather be in stocks than any kind of fixed income class. if any of that changing in the future, and if so at what point? interest rates have to go up some point, don't they? >> i think they will continue to creep higher, but they can't go a lot higher because the economy would then weekend. so i think as we globalize and the rate race will continue hig, but a lot of cash out there saying when things were volatile in t
we have avoided the fiscal cliff posted on the debt ceiling. earnings are decent, decent economic indicators here and outside the u.s. on balance is good, not everyone of them. we have central bankers all over the world, but begging for reflation putting money in the system and a lot of cash getting zero return and those things i think are the reason the stock is likely to continue going. connell: that is the last one i want to pick up on because reading your most recent numbers is lack of...
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i think they will do the same thing on the upcoming debt ceiling and sequestration. ashley: so if we do have this pullback after the state of the union, jeff, what sectors or stocks in particular do you like? >> i actually like all the sectors except the consumer staples. a lot of portfolio managers, professional money has been hiding out in the consumer staples because they were worried about the upcoming election, the fiscal cliff, the debt ceiling, china slowing, you name it, dysfunctional government. now it has become more apparent our dysfunctional government has become a little bit less dysfunctional i think investors will start to have to look at the fundamentals. i think the fundamentals with the housing situation, the automobile strength i think it is going to come to the fore. tracy: i hope you're right, jeff saut, with raymond james. thank you very much, sir. >> you bet. ashley: jeff says when housing is healthy and automobile industry is healthy that's always a good sign for a solid recovery. tracy: he is not wrong, right? they do kumbaya at the last minu
i think they will do the same thing on the upcoming debt ceiling and sequestration. ashley: so if we do have this pullback after the state of the union, jeff, what sectors or stocks in particular do you like? >> i actually like all the sectors except the consumer staples. a lot of portfolio managers, professional money has been hiding out in the consumer staples because they were worried about the upcoming election, the fiscal cliff, the debt ceiling, china slowing, you name it,...
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the debt ceiling continues to go up and the overall debt. they are very concerned about all of those things. lori: do you think washington has the best interests of small business at heart? >> well, i hope so. the unfortunate part is we are seeing it in the administration. it continues to attack small business. washington has a spending problem, not a revenue problem. we hear about this every single week. lori: you point out that many small businesses do not have lawyers or lobbyists that focus on this. the list goes on and on. that is a serious problem. a serious disadvantage for them, correct? >> exactly. they do not have the resources. that is one of the reasons why we are trying to provide the voice for small businesses. we need to be the advocate for small businesses here in washington. lori: you look at our ballooning national debt in the battle over the current deficit. what is the best outcome? >> that would be for the federal government to reduce spending. that is just all there is to it. lori: where exactly? i have to interrupt you
the debt ceiling continues to go up and the overall debt. they are very concerned about all of those things. lori: do you think washington has the best interests of small business at heart? >> well, i hope so. the unfortunate part is we are seeing it in the administration. it continues to attack small business. washington has a spending problem, not a revenue problem. we hear about this every single week. lori: you point out that many small businesses do not have lawyers or lobbyists that...
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ceiling debate, take the pick, and we fell off the cliff. do you see that happening this year? >> after the election in germany this fall, yes, i expect things will be bad in the world economy. cheryl: you mentioned europe four times now. >> yeah, i mean, there's going to be a lot of good news, and she's got one of the largest economies in the world. her central bank in europe is printing money as well now. everybody's printing money. cheryl, it can't go on. it's artificial. it's a pool of par dies. if it's based on printing presses, that's a bad theme. cheryl: the lost decade. gym -- jim rogers, thank you very much. congratulations on the book. >> thank youings thank you, make that two lost decades. cheryl: that's right, thank you. dennis: the dow is now at 13999, but they will be right some day. all right, looks like the housing recovery could be for real. december home prices making the highest leap in six and a half years, this as a third of listings in some markets, washington, d.c., denver, they are selling in two weeks or less. brian
ceiling debate, take the pick, and we fell off the cliff. do you see that happening this year? >> after the election in germany this fall, yes, i expect things will be bad in the world economy. cheryl: you mentioned europe four times now. >> yeah, i mean, there's going to be a lot of good news, and she's got one of the largest economies in the world. her central bank in europe is printing money as well now. everybody's printing money. cheryl, it can't go on. it's artificial. it's a...
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tracy: we still have they a debt ceiling in may, sequester coming up anytime soon now. on the flipside though you are even suggesting will be some m&a activity going on this coming year. of course housing is looking really good. >> yeah. certainly there are a lot of key things working for the economy right now. housing one of them. certainly manufacturing. starting to really move and of course, you know the cheap energy that we enjoy. putting that all together we're certainly, you know, trying to head into what would be a, you know, a first year of an austerity year, right? we are going it see some government cutbacks with many so what of a running head start. so i think that is good news. like i said, we've seen some tax increases. i would like to see spending reports as a result of these new taxes. tracy: right. >> in place. we'll have to see how that works out. and of course then sequestration which, you know, paul ryan and other republicans are braced for going ahead and tripping over it. so that could amount to roughly a 3% cut in government spending. tracy: jack,
tracy: we still have they a debt ceiling in may, sequester coming up anytime soon now. on the flipside though you are even suggesting will be some m&a activity going on this coming year. of course housing is looking really good. >> yeah. certainly there are a lot of key things working for the economy right now. housing one of them. certainly manufacturing. starting to really move and of course, you know the cheap energy that we enjoy. putting that all together we're certainly, you...
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Jan 31, 2013
01/13
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over all extends enforcement the of current debt ceiling through mid-may. but at that point it retroactively goes up and the bipartisan policy center says the increase will be $450 billion. call it about half a trillion so the new total will end up being around 17 trillion in federal debt, as of mid-may. that string attached to the no budget-no pay provision. house republicans who have passed budgets during the first obama term inserted this into the legislation, essentially to pressure senate democrats to pass budgets. they have not done that during obama's first term. the measure says each chamber has to pass a budget by mid-april. sured either chamber fail, its member's pay would be withheld. here is harry reid talking about it and how it comes together today. >> obviously democrats would prefer a longer suspension of the debt ceiling which would provide additional economic security and stability as we continue to find ways to decrease the deficit. raising the possibility the united states could default on its obligations every few months is not an ideal
over all extends enforcement the of current debt ceiling through mid-may. but at that point it retroactively goes up and the bipartisan policy center says the increase will be $450 billion. call it about half a trillion so the new total will end up being around 17 trillion in federal debt, as of mid-may. that string attached to the no budget-no pay provision. house republicans who have passed budgets during the first obama term inserted this into the legislation, essentially to pressure senate...
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Jan 29, 2013
01/13
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in a couple of days, the senate will vote on a proposal to extend the debt ceiling out til may, so if the senate does, it heads to the white house for the president's signature, and that reorders the calendar of deadlines as far as spending is concerned, so next up would be the government spending cuts, the automatic spending cuts known as the sequester followed by march 27th a large chunk of government spending authority runs out. and without an agreement the, basically, no spending agreement there you'd have a government shutdown on may 18th, that's the next debt ceiling deadline if this does manage to pass the house and the u.s. senate and go to the president's desk for his signature. analysts are saying next up now is that big government spending fight dealing with the appropriations process, and it makes it more likely now with that up next that there could be a goth shutdown. a government shutdown. >> you know, take off the worst case elements of what, you know, could be a worst case scenario by removing the debt ceiling, essentially, and then have just a good old fight on spend
in a couple of days, the senate will vote on a proposal to extend the debt ceiling out til may, so if the senate does, it heads to the white house for the president's signature, and that reorders the calendar of deadlines as far as spending is concerned, so next up would be the government spending cuts, the automatic spending cuts known as the sequester followed by march 27th a large chunk of government spending authority runs out. and without an agreement the, basically, no spending agreement...
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Feb 5, 2013
02/13
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ceiling. guess what? it's time to pay the piper. >>> it's been delayed once. the president can argue all the bad things will happen and the food will be unsafe and the nuclear weapons will get lost in russia or whatever else he'll say, but eventually this is a problem that can't just be outrun. >> well, and the white house, at least the president's version of the story is he didn't come up with sequester and there are questions as you mentioned about jack lew being the man who came up with this, that there's some connection to the administration. he said congress came up with it, it's their fault, they have to deal with it. something else he may talk about today is essentially this theme that the economy is poised to start growing this year. we know it didn't grow. in fact, it went in reverse the fourth quarter of 2012 and unemployment went up last week, so where are the green sprouts of growth? >> well, we've seen this movie before, haven't we? every time it looks like things are getting read
ceiling. guess what? it's time to pay the piper. >>> it's been delayed once. the president can argue all the bad things will happen and the food will be unsafe and the nuclear weapons will get lost in russia or whatever else he'll say, but eventually this is a problem that can't just be outrun. >> well, and the white house, at least the president's version of the story is he didn't come up with sequester and there are questions as you mentioned about jack lew being the man who...